據(jù)彭博社5月31日報道，歐佩克+政策會議召開前，油價上漲，交易員預計需求上升將消化歐佩克計劃增加的產(chǎn)量以及增加的供應。

　　紐約原油期貨價格攀升至每桶67美元以上，原油價格有望連續(xù)第二個月上漲。根據(jù)上周彭博社的一項調(diào)查顯示，歐佩克+產(chǎn)油國們預計將在周二的會議上堅持提高產(chǎn)量的決定。

　　Emirates NBD PJSC銀行石油分析師Ed Bell表示："我真的在關注歐佩克+對未來兩個月之后的預估，看看他們是否對需求持續(xù)增長以及能夠吸收更多原油持樂觀態(tài)度。石油供需平衡顯示，下半年仍將出現(xiàn)供應短缺，這意味著油價將維持在目前的水平。”

　　盡管新冠肺炎疫情在亞洲卷土重來，但美國、中國和歐洲部分地區(qū)正在推動需求強勁復蘇。當前，美國汽油庫存下降，消費量增加，這預示著夏季出行季節(jié)燃料需求高峰的開始。

　　價格方面。倫敦時間上午10:03，紐約商品交易所 7月份交割的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油價格上漲1.1%，至每桶67.05美元，漲幅為4.3%。5月期貨價格上漲5.5%。

　　歐洲期貨交易所8月份交割的布倫特原油價格上漲1%，至每桶69.43美元。

　　在歐佩克+于周二召開會議時，投資者還將尋找有關該組織下一階段供應政策的線索，因市場對需求將在年底前加速增長的樂觀情緒日益增強。在接受彭博社調(diào)查的24位分析師和交易員中，只有4位預測歐佩克將批準每日增產(chǎn)84萬桶的計劃。

　　此外，印度周一發(fā)布的數(shù)據(jù)預計將顯示，該國第一季度國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值同比增長略有回升。

　　王佳晶 摘譯自 彭博社

　　原文如下：

　　Oil exceeds US$67 as demand outweighs prospect of more OPEC+ oil

　　Oil advanced ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting as traders expect rising demand to absorb a planned production increase from the group.

　　Futures in New York climbed past US$67 a barrel, putting crude on track for a second straight monthly gain. OPEC and its allies are expected to stick with a decision to boost output in July when the group gathers Tuesday, according to a Bloomberg survey last week. While rebounding demand is driving prices higher, the possibility of more barrels should a nuclear deal be revived is clouding the outlook.

　　“I’m really looking at what OPEC+ says about the period beyond the next two months and whether they indicate they’re positive about demand continuing to grow and that being able to absorb any more barrels,” said Ed Bell, an oil analyst at Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD PJSC. “Our balances still point to a deficit of supply in the second half and that points to oil being about where it is now.”

　　T he U.S., China and parts of Europe are driving robust demand recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, despite a virus comeback across Asia. American gasoline stockpiles have declined and consumption gained in the lead up to the Memorial Day weekend, which heralds the start of the summer driving season and peak fuel demand.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for July delivery gained 1.1 per cent to US$67.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 10:03 a.m. London time after advancing 4.3 per cent last week.

　　Futures are up 5.5 per cent this month.

　　Brent for August settlement rose 1 per cent to US$69.43 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange.

　　There are holidays in the U.S. and U.K. on Monday.

　　When OPEC+ meets on Tuesday, investors will also be looking for any clues on the next stage of the group’s supply policy amid growing expectations for demand to accelerate through the end of the year. As for July, all but four of 24 analysts and traders surveyed by Bloomberg predicted the alliance would ratify a planned increase of 840,000 barrels a day.

　　Indian data later Monday is forecast to show the nation’s gross domestic product during the first quarter posted a slight pickup in growth year-on-year.

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