據1月24日FXstreet報道，路透社最新民意調查顯示，海灣合作委員會（Gulf Cooperation Council）六個成員國的經濟將以幾年來最快的速度增長。

調查結果還提到10位經濟學家中有9位表示，油價下跌和新疫情毒株，是今年海灣合作委員會經濟增長的最大威脅。

沙特阿拉伯預計將以5.7%的經濟增長率位居榜首，其次是科威特和阿聯酋，分別為5.3%和4.8%。

2022年卡塔爾、阿曼和巴林的經濟增長預計平均在3%-4%之間。如果可以實現的話，這將是這些國家幾年來所見證的最好成績。

十個受訪者中有八位表示，增長預期面臨的風險更偏向下行。

值得一提的是，油價保持堅挺，加上近期圍繞俄羅斯和烏克蘭的地緣政治擔憂，也支撐了西得克薩斯中質原油價格在周一歐洲會議前上漲逾1.0%。

王佳晶 摘譯自 FXstreet

原文如下：

Gulf economies to grow faster in 2022, oil price fall biggest threat – Reuters poll

“The economies in the six-member Gulf Cooperation Council will grow at their fastest pace in several years,” per the latest Reuters poll.

The survey results also mentioned, “Nine of 10 economists who answered an additional question said a decline in oil prices and new coronavirus variants were the biggest threats to GCC economic growth this year.”

Key quotes

Saudi Arabia was predicted to top the list with growth of 5.7%, followed by Kuwait and UAE with 5.3% and 4.8% respectively.

Economic growth in Qatar, Oman and Bahrain was expected to average between 3%-4% for 2022. If realised, that would be the best these countries have witnessed in several years.

Eight of ten respondents said risks to their growth forecasts were skewed more to the downside.

Oil prices remain firmer…

The hawkish outlook for energy prices joins the recent geopolitical concerns surrounding Russia and Ukraine to also underpin WTI crude oil prices to gain over 1.0% by the press time of the pre-European session on Monday.

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