?國際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長目標(biāo)定為7.6%，將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。

?石油產(chǎn)量和出口收入的增加為沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)提供了動力。

據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)4月19日報(bào)道，國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)周二上調(diào)了沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)增長預(yù)期，該組織稱，油價(jià)將推動沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入高增長模式，今年將增長一倍以上。

國際貨幣基金組織將沙特今年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長目標(biāo)定為7.6%，將預(yù)期提高了2.8%。

雖然這在很大程度上歸因于多年來的高油價(jià)，但I(xiàn)MF也注意到非石油收入的增長，并預(yù)計(jì)將進(jìn)一步增長。

IMF在其《世界經(jīng)濟(jì)展望》報(bào)告中表示：“我們將對沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率的估計(jì)提高了2.8個百分點(diǎn)，這反映了石油產(chǎn)量根據(jù)歐佩克+協(xié)議的增加，以及更多非石油產(chǎn)量增長超過預(yù)期。”

凱投宏觀的一份報(bào)告顯示，3月份沙特石油產(chǎn)量增至1030萬桶/天，同比增長26.7%，是該國近20年來最快的增速。

凱投宏觀預(yù)測沙特經(jīng)濟(jì)今年將增長10%，2023年將增長5.3%。

與此同時，據(jù)《阿拉伯新聞》報(bào)道，凱投宏觀的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家 James Swanston仍然樂觀地認(rèn)為，沙特將進(jìn)一步增加產(chǎn)量，超出歐佩克+已達(dá)成的協(xié)議。

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)對沙特阿拉伯的雙重增長預(yù)測出爐之際，該國正將其對整體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的預(yù)測從2021年的6.1%下調(diào)至2022年和2023年的3.6%。

季廷偉 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Saudi Economic Growth To Double This Year On High Oil Prices 

?The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%.

?The increase in oil production and export revenues fuel the Saudi economy.

High oil prices will push Saudi Arabia’s economy into high-growth mode, more than doubling this year, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which raised its growth forecast for the Kingdom on Tuesday. 

The IMF is targeting 7.6% growth for the Saudi economy this year, raising its forecast by 2.8%. 

While much of this was attributed to multi-year-high oil prices, the IMF has also noted growth and expected further growth in non-oil revenues. 

“We raised our estimates of the growth rate of the Saudi economy by 2.8 percentage points, which reflects the increase in oil production in accordance with the OPEC+ agreement, in conjunction with the more non-oil output growth exceeding expectations,” the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report.

A Capital Economics report has Saudi oil production rising to 10.3 million barrels per day in March, for 26.7% year-on-year growth, which is classified as the fastest rate of growth for the kingdom in nearly two decades. 

Capital Economics forecasts the Saudi economy will grow by 10% this year and by 5.3% in 2023. 

At the same time, Capital Economics economist James Swanston remains optimistic that the Saudis will further increase output beyond what OPEC+ has agreed to, Arab News reports. 

The IMF’s double-growth projections for Saudi Arabia come as it slashes its forecast for overall economic growth from 6.1% in 2021 to 3.6% in 2022 and 2023.