據(jù)油價網(wǎng)2022年10月21日報道，由于預(yù)計全球石油需求增長將放緩，英國最大商業(yè)銀行之一的巴克萊銀行日前下調(diào)了其對今明兩年布倫特原油價格的預(yù)期。

CN Wire援引巴克萊銀行的消息報道，這家英國銀行在8月份將布倫特原油價格預(yù)測從每桶111美元下調(diào)至每桶103美元，2022年和2023年則每桶下調(diào)了3美元，2023年每桶下調(diào)了5美元。  

但巴克萊銀行仍然對油價曲線和共識持建設(shè)性態(tài)度。

然而，巴克萊銀行表示，如果2023年全球石油需求比預(yù)期每天低100萬至200萬桶，那么明年的油價預(yù)測將每桶下降15至25美元。

此外，報道援引巴克萊銀行的話說：“盡管由于更廣泛的經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩，流動性限制可能會放寬，但全球石油需求可能低于我們的預(yù)期。”

由于市場人士再次關(guān)注經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退可能減緩全球石油需求增長的擔(dān)憂，油價周四收平，周五油價連續(xù)第二周下跌。 

李峻 編譯自 油價網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Barclays Cuts Oil Price Forecast Due To Slower Demand Growth

Barclays lowered on Friday its Brent Crude price forecast for this year and next due to expected slowing growth in oil demand.

The UK bank—which slashed in August its Brent oil price forecast to $103 per barrel for 2022 and 2023, down from $111 a barrel—is now cutting its Brent forecast by $3 per barrel for 2022 and by $5 a barrel for 2023, CN Wire reports, citing Barclays.

However, the bank remains constructive with respect to the curve and consensus of oil prices.  

Yet, if 2023 global oil demand is 1-2 million barrels per day (bpd) lower than expected, there is a downside of between $15 and $25 per barrel in Barclays’ price forecast for next year, the bank said.

Moreover, “oil demand could undershoot our estimates despite a potential easing of mobility restrictions due to a broader slowdown,” the bank was quoted as saying.

Oil prices settled almost flat on Thursday as market participants focused again on fears of recessions that could slow oil demand, and were headed to a second consecutive weekly loss on Friday.