據4月27日Rigzone報道，亞洲油價上漲，歐佩克+預計，盡管印度等國家新冠肺炎疫情爆發拖累了短期需求前景，但今年全球經濟仍將強勁復蘇。

　　紐約原油期貨價格在周一下跌0.4%后上漲至每桶62美元以上。歐佩克+技術委員會調高了2021年需求增長預期，但警告稱，印度、日本和巴西再度爆發的疫情可能破壞石油需求復蘇。印度的第二次疫情浪潮尤其致命，導致該國醫療系統不堪重負，阻礙了燃料消費。

　　印度最大的煉油商印度石油公司(Indian Oil Corp.)正以罕見的方式向現貨市場出售汽油，而其他原油加工企業則推遲了一些工廠的維修計劃，原因是工人們要么逃離，要么生病。

　　歐佩克+周三召開月度部長級會議，討論其生產政策，但部分國家前景堪憂可能給會議帶來挑戰，盡管該組織已同意從5月開始增加市場供應。歐佩克秘書長巴爾金多表示，全球經濟出現了“積極的信號”，但他也指出，石油市場中還有許多消極因素需要大家繼續保持警惕。

　　Axi首席市場策略師Stephen Innes稱："本周的歐佩克+會議將必須在美國和歐洲的樂觀前景與印度等地區的消極數據之間尋找平衡。值得一提的是，歐佩克+內部的看漲人士不太可能提出加速放松減產的建議。”

　　在油價方面。倫敦時間上午7點30分，紐約商品交易所 6月份的西德克薩斯中質原油(WTI)價格上漲0.8%，至每桶62.39美元。歐洲期貨交易所6月份布倫特原油結算價上漲0.7%，至每桶66.13美元，較前一交易日下跌0.7%。

　　布倫特原油現貨溢價57美分，這是一個看漲的信號，短期合約的價格高于遠期合約。相比之下，4月初的時候是現貨溢價為40美分。

　　歐佩克+技術專家委員會預測，今年的石油消費量將比去年增加600萬桶/天。到本季度末，疫情期間積累的大部分燃料庫存將被清空。

　　中國和美國的經濟強勁復蘇，歐洲部分地區也出現了一些積極復蘇跡象。一季度，韓國投資和出口增長加快，經濟復蘇的步伐強于預期。

　　王佳晶 摘譯自 Rigzone

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Up Amid OPEC+ Optimism

　　Oil climbed in Asia with OPEC+ projecting a strong global recovery this year, even as a Covid-19 flare-up in India and other nations dragged on the near-term demand outlook.

　　Futures in New York rose above $62 a barrel after slipping 0.4% on Monday. An OPEC+ technical committee raised its forecast for demand growth in 2021, but cautioned that a resurgent virus in India, Japan and Brazil could derail the oil demand recovery. The second Indian wave has been particularly deadly as it overwhelms the health-care system and cripples fuel consumption.

　　Indian Oil Corp., the country’s biggest refiner, is looking to offload gasoline into the spot market in a rare sale, while other processors are postponing planned maintenance at some plants as workers either flee or fall ill.

　　The deteriorating outlook in some countries may pose a challenge to OPEC+ when it meets for a monthly ministerial meeting on Wednesday to discuss its production policy, although the group has already agreed to start adding more supply to the market from May. OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said Monday that there are “positive signals” in the global economy, but also pointed to factors in the oil market that require ongoing vigilance.

　　“The OPEC+ meeting this week will have to balance the improved view in China, the U.S. and Europe against negative data in India and other regions,” said Stephen Innes, a chief market strategist at Axi. It’s unlikely that bulls within the group will be able to make a strong case for an accelerated easing of production cuts, he added.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for June rose 0.8% to $62.39 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 7:30 a.m. London time.

　　Brent for June settlement gained 0.7% to $66.13 on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after losing 0.7% in the previous session.

　　The prompt timespread for Brent was 57 cents a barrel in backwardation -- a bullish market structure were near-dated contracts are more expensive than later-dated ones. That compares with 40 cents at the start of April.

　　The OPEC+ committee of technical experts forecast that oil consumption will rebound by 6 million barrels a day this year from last, according to delegates who attended the panel on Monday. Most of the fuel inventories glut built up during the pandemic will have cleared by the end of this quarter, they said.

　　The recovery is being driven by a strong rebound in the U.S., while there are some positive signs emerging in parts of Europe. South Korea’s economy recovered at a stronger pace than expected last quarter, as investment picked up with export growth.

　　Other oil-market news:

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