據(jù)天然氣工業(yè)12月22日消息稱,美國(guó)將在2022年超過(guò)卡塔爾和澳大利亞,成為世界上最大的LNG出口國(guó),并可能在未來(lái)幾年繼續(xù)保持這一頭銜。
在其他歐洲和亞洲的大型經(jīng)濟(jì)體爭(zhēng)相為供暖和發(fā)電尋找足夠的供應(yīng)的時(shí)候,美國(guó)卻擁有許多供應(yīng)——而這些供應(yīng)在未來(lái)幾年還會(huì)增長(zhǎng)。
自2015年以來(lái),全球LNG需求每年都創(chuàng)下歷史新高,這主要是由于亞洲其他地區(qū)的需求激增。美國(guó)LNG出口的穩(wěn)步增長(zhǎng)在很大程度上滿足了全球需求,自2016年以來(lái),美國(guó)LNG出口每年都創(chuàng)下新紀(jì)錄,并有望在2022年繼續(xù)保持這一勢(shì)頭。
美國(guó)能源情報(bào)署預(yù)計(jì),到2022年,美國(guó)LNG出口量將達(dá)到115億立方英尺/天。據(jù)高盛分析師稱,這將約占明年全球533億立方英尺/天的LNG需求的大約 22%,并將超過(guò)目前最大的兩個(gè)LNG出口國(guó)澳大利亞和卡塔爾。
10億立方英尺的天然氣足夠500萬(wàn)美國(guó)家庭一天使用。
到2025年左右,美國(guó)仍將是最大的LNG出口國(guó),而隨著卡塔爾北部油田的擴(kuò)建項(xiàng)目開(kāi)始投入使用,屆時(shí)卡塔爾可能會(huì)重新獲得領(lǐng)先地位。但如果一些美國(guó)開(kāi)發(fā)商開(kāi)始建設(shè)新的LNG出口工廠,美國(guó)可能不會(huì)放棄這一桂冠。
美國(guó)最大的LNG出口國(guó)切尼爾能源等主要的美國(guó)開(kāi)發(fā)商近幾個(gè)月簽署了大量出售LNG的長(zhǎng)期協(xié)議,這些協(xié)議應(yīng)能使他們獲得繼續(xù)推進(jìn)其他數(shù)十億美元項(xiàng)目所需的融資。
預(yù)計(jì)到2022年,美國(guó)將超過(guò)澳大利亞和卡塔爾,成為最大的LNG出口國(guó)。
朱佳妮 摘譯自 天然氣工業(yè)
原文如下:
U.S. to be world's biggest LNG exporter in 2022
The United States is set to become the world's biggest liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter in 2022, surpassing Qatar and Australia, and may hold that title for years to come.
In a year when other large economies in Europe and Asia scrambled to source enough supply for heating and power generation, the United States was sitting on a bevy of supply - one that will grow in coming years.
Global LNG demand has hit record highs each year since 2015, due mostly to surging demand in the rest of Asia. Much of that global appetite has been met by steadily rising U.S. LNG exports, which have reached new records every year since 2016 and is poised to continue in 2022.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects U.S. LNG exports will reach 11.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in 2022. That would account for roughly 22% of expected world LNG demand of 53.3 bcfd next year, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs and would outpace both Australia and Qatar, the two largest exporters at present.
One billion cubic feet is enough gas for about 5 million U.S. homes for a day.
The United States should remain the biggest LNG exporter by capacity until around 2025, when Qatar could regain the lead as its North Field expansion starts to enter service. But if some U.S. developers start building new LNG export plants, the United States may not give up the crown.
Major U.S. developers like Cheniere Energy, the largest U.S. exporter, have signed numerous long-term deals to sell LNG in recent months that should enable them to secure the financing needed to go forward with additional multibillion-dollar projects.
The United States is expected to become the largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) by 2022, surpassing Australia and Qatar.
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