據(jù)石油新聞2021年4月14日莫斯科報(bào)道，根據(jù)一份將被國(guó)家杜馬審議以及將在4月21日被政府批準(zhǔn)的有關(guān)2035年前俄羅斯石油工業(yè)發(fā)展的草案文件，在石油產(chǎn)量在2027-2029年達(dá)到峰值以及看到世界需求下降之前，俄羅斯修改后的石油戰(zhàn)略將把重點(diǎn)放在最大化來(lái)自原油出口的貨幣化。
俄羅斯國(guó)家杜馬能源委員會(huì)主席帕維爾·扎瓦爾尼在4月14日的草案文件發(fā)布會(huì)上表示，“這一戰(zhàn)略的主要主題是當(dāng)前儲(chǔ)量和資源的貨幣化——即最大限度地實(shí)現(xiàn)原油出口貨幣化。”
“所有能生產(chǎn)的原油都應(yīng)該在仍有需求的時(shí)候生產(chǎn)出來(lái)，” 扎瓦爾尼補(bǔ)充說(shuō)。
這份草案文件由俄羅斯能源部編制，每年進(jìn)行修訂，考慮到目前新冠肺炎疫情大流行的后果，以及全球加速脫碳趨勢(shì)，這可能導(dǎo)致世界石油需求在2030年之前達(dá)到峰值。
俄羅斯能源部預(yù)計(jì)，俄羅斯2021年原油產(chǎn)量將達(dá)到4.78億噸，或960萬(wàn)桶/天，與2020年的水平基本持平。
扎瓦爾尼說(shuō)，俄羅斯把保護(hù)其在國(guó)際市場(chǎng)上的市場(chǎng)份額作為2021年的主要目標(biāo)之一。
俄羅斯副總理亞歷山大·諾瓦克4月13日在能源部董事會(huì)上表示：“(我們應(yīng)該)毫無(wú)疑問(wèn)地支持我們國(guó)家的利益，我們?cè)谶@個(gè)國(guó)家擁有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)。”
自今年1月以來(lái)，俄羅斯成功主張逐步增加歐佩克+協(xié)議下的產(chǎn)量配額，截至4月份，該配額目前為937.9萬(wàn)桶/天，不包括凝析油。
根據(jù)修訂后的石油戰(zhàn)略，到2030年前，俄羅斯管道原油出口量將從2020年的2.08億噸增加到2.12億-2.86億噸。
李峻 編譯自 石油新聞
原文如下：
Russia aims to boost oil exports before reaching output peak in 2027-2029
Russia's revised oil strategy will focus on maximizing monetization from crude exports before hitting peak production in 2027-2029 and seeing world demand drop, according to a draft document on the development of the sector up to 2035 being reviewed by the State Duma and set to be approved by the government April 22.
"The main thesis in this strategy is the monetization of current reserves and resources -- that is, the maximum monetization of exports," Pavel Zavalny, head of the energy committee at the Duma, said at the presentation of the document April 14.
"Everything that can be produced should be produced while there is still demand to sell it," he added.
The draft document, which is prepared by the energy ministry and revised annually, takes into account the consequences of the ongoing pandemic, as well as accelerated decarbonization trends globally, which may cause world oil demand to peak earlier than 2030.
The ministry forecast crude oil output to total 478 million mt, or 9.6 million b/d, in 2021, practically unchanged from 2020 levels.
Russia outlined protection of its market share in the international market as one of its main goals for 2021.
"[We should] undoubtedly stand up for the interests of our country, where we have a competitive advantage," Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said April 13 at the ministry's board meeting.
Since January, Russia has successfully advocated for gradual increases of its output quota under the OPEC+ agreement, which currently stands at 9.379 million b/d, excluding condensate, through April.
According to the revised oil strategy, Russia's pipeline exports of crude should rise from 208 million mt in 2020 to 212-286 million mt by 2030.
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