據(jù)塔斯社8月14日消息：挪威能源咨詢公司Rystad Energy在一份聲明中表示，俄羅斯的原油和凝析油產(chǎn)量可能在2022年夏季達(dá)到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄水平，預(yù)計(jì)在2023年將達(dá)到峰值。
“歐佩克+聯(lián)盟最近同意穩(wěn)步提高石油產(chǎn)量，這為俄羅斯慢慢擺脫新冠肺炎的減產(chǎn)鋪平了道路。Rystad Energy的一份分析報(bào)告顯示，該國有望在2022年7月創(chuàng)下1160萬桶/天的月度原油和凝析油產(chǎn)量新紀(jì)錄。該公司在一份聲明中稱：“俄羅斯的石油機(jī)器將進(jìn)一步加速，在2023年中期達(dá)到近1220萬桶/天的峰值。”
俄羅斯目前每月的石油和凝析油產(chǎn)量記錄是在2018年12月創(chuàng)下的1150萬桶/天。Rystad Energy的預(yù)測指出，2023年將是產(chǎn)量最高的一年，預(yù)計(jì)為1216萬桶/天。
因此，俄羅斯2023年的原油和凝析油年產(chǎn)量將保持在6億噸左右。此前5.68億噸的年度紀(jì)錄是在2019年創(chuàng)下的。
Rystad Energy表示，俄羅斯石油公司和俄羅斯天然氣工業(yè)股份公司的新油田項(xiàng)目將推動該國的中短期產(chǎn)量增長。
據(jù)該公司稱，俄羅斯運(yùn)營商將發(fā)現(xiàn)，恢復(fù)那些因歐佩克+減產(chǎn)而關(guān)閉的油井將非常困難和昂貴。
歐佩克+聯(lián)盟由歐佩克成員國和13個(gè)非成員國組成，自5月以來一直在提高石油產(chǎn)量。他們同意每月增加40萬桶石油產(chǎn)量，以在2022年9月之前將2020年減少的石油產(chǎn)量恢復(fù)到之前的水平。
馮娟 摘譯自 塔斯社
原文如下：
Russia to reach record-high oil production by summer 2022 - forecast
Russia may reach a record-high level of crude and condensate production in summer 2022, with output expected to reach its peak in 2023, Norway’s Rystad Energy consulting company said in a statement on Friday.
"The OPEC+ coalition’s recent agreement to steadily raise oil production is paving the way for Russia to slowly shrug off Covid-19 curtailments. The country is on track to set a new monthly crude and condensate output record of 11.6 million barrels per day (bpd) already in July 2022, a Rystad Energy analysis reveals. Russia’s oil machine will then accelerate further to a peak of almost 12.2 million bpd in mid-2023," the company said in a statement.
Russia’s current monthly oil and condensate production record of 11.5 million bpd was set in December 2018. Rystad Energy’s projections point to 2023 as a peak year also at an annual production level, expected at 12.16 million bpd.
Therefore, Russia’s annual crude and condensate production in 2023 will stand at about 600 million tonnes. The previous annual record of 568 million tonnes was set in 2019.
The country’s short-and medium-term production growth will be driven by Rosneft and Gazpromneft’s greenfield projects, Rystad Energy said.
According to the company, Russian operators will find it difficult and expensive to bring back online wells that were shut to comply with OPEC+ output cuts.
Members of the OPEC+ alliance, bringing together OPEC members and 13 non-member states, have been boosting their oil output since May. They agreed to increase oil production by 0.4 million bpd per month in a bid to restore oil output, reduced in 2020, to its previous levels by September 2022.
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