據(jù)阿納多盧新聞8月11日消息稱，國(guó)際能源署(IEA)周五發(fā)布的最新報(bào)告顯示，歐佩克集團(tuán)主要產(chǎn)油國(guó)沙特阿拉伯大幅減產(chǎn)，導(dǎo)致7月份全球石油日產(chǎn)量暴跌91萬(wàn)桶，至1.009億桶。

本月早些時(shí)候，沙特阿拉伯表示，將把目前的100萬(wàn)桶/日減產(chǎn)計(jì)劃延長(zhǎng)至9月。該國(guó)最初在7月減產(chǎn)，并將減產(chǎn)延長(zhǎng)至8月。

該機(jī)構(gòu)表示，沙特阿拉伯7月減產(chǎn)92萬(wàn)桶，至906萬(wàn)桶。除了2020—2021年期間，沙特原油供應(yīng)自2011年以來(lái)從未如此低。

根據(jù)IEA的數(shù)據(jù)，今年全球石油產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將增加150萬(wàn)桶/天，達(dá)到歷史最高的1.015億桶/天。

美國(guó)、巴西、圭亞那等非歐佩克+國(guó)家預(yù)計(jì)將增加190萬(wàn)桶/天的產(chǎn)量，占今年全球供應(yīng)量的49%。

到2024年，全球石油消費(fèi)增長(zhǎng)預(yù)計(jì)將放緩至100萬(wàn)桶/日，總需求將達(dá)到1.03億桶/日。

非歐佩克+國(guó)家明年將主導(dǎo)全球供應(yīng)增長(zhǎng)，增加130萬(wàn)桶/天，將其石油總產(chǎn)量的份額提高到49.6%。然而，歐佩克+的產(chǎn)量將錄得16萬(wàn)桶/日的有限增長(zhǎng)。

該機(jī)構(gòu)預(yù)計(jì)，到2023年，全球石油需求將增加220萬(wàn)桶/日，達(dá)到1.022億桶/日，其中中國(guó)占增長(zhǎng)的70%以上。夏季航空旅行、發(fā)電用油的增加以及石化活動(dòng)的激增，都推動(dòng)了全球石油需求的增長(zhǎng)。

IEA將其對(duì)2024年全球需求增長(zhǎng)的預(yù)測(cè)下調(diào)了15萬(wàn)桶/日。預(yù)計(jì)到2024年，全球石油需求將增加100萬(wàn)桶/日，達(dá)到1.032億桶/日。

曹海斌 譯自 阿納多盧新聞

原文如下：

Global oil supply in July sees sharp plummet: Int. Energy Agency

A sharp output reduction by the swing producer of the OPEC group, Saudi Arabia, drove the plunge in global oil production by 910,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 100.9 million bpd in July, according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) on Friday.

Earlier this month, Saudi Arabia stated that it would extend its existing 1 million bpd output cutbacks through September. The country originally reduced output in July and extended it through August.

The agency said Saudi Arabia reduced output by 920,000 bpd in July to 9.06 million bpd. Except for the 2020–2021 COVID-19 period, Saudi crude supply has not been as low since 2011.

According to the IEA, global oil output is projected to expand by 1.5 million bpd to a record 101.5 million bpd this year.

Non-OPEC+ countries such as the US, Brazil,and Guyana are expected to drive gains of 1.9 million bpd, accounting for 49% of global supply this year.

In 2024, global oil consumption gains are forecast to slow to 1 million bpd, with overall demand reaching 103 million bpd.

Non-OPEC+ is set to dominate world supply growth next year, adding 1.3 million bpd, raising its share of total oil output to 49.6%. OPEC+ production, however, will record a limited increase of 160,000 bpd.

The agency projected that global oil demand will expand by 2.2 million bpd to 102.2 million bpd in 2023, with  accounting for more than 70% of this growth. Summer air travel, increasing oil use for electricity generation, and surging Chinese petrochemical activity all contribute to the increase in global oil demand.

The IEA revised down its global demand growth forecast for 2024 by 150,000 bpd. Global oil demand is now forecast to increase by 1 million bpd in 2024 to 103.2 million bpd.