據6月28日Rigzone消息：油價穩定在2018年以來的最高水平附近，本周的歐佩克+會議預計將帶來供應增長，而供應增長將趕不上全球需求復蘇的步伐。

　　上周五上漲1%后，紐約期貨交易價格接近每桶74美元。繼今年油價上漲50%后，歐佩克及其盟友將于周四舉行會議。彭博社的一項調查顯示，產油國可能決定在8月份將日產量提高55萬桶，但這僅相當于歐佩克+預計的本月全球供應赤字的四分之一。

　　隨著美國、歐洲等主要能源市場從疫情中迅速反彈，導致流動性增加，交通燃料消費增加，油價今年出現反彈。經濟復蘇也消耗了過剩的庫存，國際能源署(IEA)敦促歐佩克+恢復更多供應，以保持市場平衡。

　　價格

　　倫敦時間上午10點19分，西德克薩斯中質原油8月交貨價格小幅上漲2美分，至每桶74.07美元。

　　早些時候，期貨價格上漲0.5%，至74.45美元，為2018年10月以來的最高水平。

　　8月份交割的布倫特原油價格下跌2美分，至每桶76.16美元。

　　石油市場的結構繼續表明供應趨緊。8月布倫特原油期貨價格比9月高出84美分，這是一種被稱為現貨溢價的看漲結構。

　　與此同時，在疫情期間積累起來的海上原油儲備繼續減少。根據Vortexa的數據，上周庫存下降了17%，為2020年初以來的最低水平。

　　馮娟 摘譯自 Rigzone

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Steady as OPEC+ Hike Expected to Lag Behind Demand

　　Oil held steady near the highest level since 2018, with an OPEC+ meeting this week expected to bring supply increases that won’t keep pace with the global demand recovery.

　　Futures in New York traded near $74 a barrel after rising 1% on Friday. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will meet Thursday following a 50% gain in prices this year. Producers may decide to boost output by 550,000 barrels a day in August, a Bloomberg survey shows, but that’s barely a quarter of the global deficit that OPEC+ anticipates during the month.

　　“Crude oil trades steady, with market participants expecting OPEC+ will keep supplies tight enough to support current levels,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S. “With virus uncertainties due to the highly contagious delta strain and questions about an Iran nuclear deal hanging over the market, the group may opt for caution,” hence current price strength.

　　Oil has rallied this year as a rapid rebound from Covid-19 in major energy markets such as the U.S., Europe has led to increased mobility and greater consumption of transport fuels. The recovery has also drained bloated stockpiles, and the International Energy Agency has urged OPEC+ to return more supply to keep markets balanced.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for August delivery edged up 2 cents to $74.07 a barrel at 10:19 a.m. London time.

　　Earlier, futures rose as much as 0.5% to $74.45, the highest since October 2018.

　　Brent for August settlement lost 2 cents to $76.16 a barrel.

　　The oil market’s structure continues to indicate tighter supply. Brent futures for August are 84 cents more expensive than those for September, a bullish structure known as backwardation.

　　All the while, the glut of crude stored at sea which built up during the pandemic continues to shrink. The stockpile fell 17% last week, according to Vortexa data, the lowest since early 2020.

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