據離岸工程網站12月27日消息 由于新冠疫情的影響,美國的原油價格在星期一上漲至77美元,原因是希望奧密克戎變種將對2022年的全球需求產生有限的影響。
星期日,美國航空公司取消了1300多個航班,因為新冠疫情減少了可用機組人員的數量,幾艘游輪也不得不取消航班。
格林威治標準時間15:05,全球基準布倫特原油價格上漲76美分(1%),至76.90美元。美國西德克薩斯中質原油價格下跌22美分(0.3%),至73.57美元。美國股市周五因假期休市。
經紀公司OANDA分析師Jeffrey Halley表示:“美國的出行減少等于經濟活動減少,導致WTI價格降低。布倫特原油和WTI之間的差異可能反映出全球復蘇仍在進行之中。”
Jeffrey Halley談到不斷上升的奧密克戎病例時表示:“隔離工人(尤其是航空旅行)對商品和服務的破壞,似乎是迄今為止的主要影響,但這只可能引起短期緊張,2022年全球復蘇仍在進行中。”
在歐佩克+恢復需求和供應削減的支持下,布倫特原油今年上漲了45%以上。
石油價格在11月26日首次出現新變種病毒報告時暴跌超過10%,上周上漲,此前早期數據顯示奧密克戎可能導致更輕微的疾病。
新加坡DailyFX的分析師Leona Liu表示:“奧密克戎傳播速度比普通新冠病毒變種快,但相對好的消息是,大多數感染奧密克戎的病人至少在目前為止癥狀輕微。”
投資者關注的另一個問題是1月4日的下一次歐佩克會議,在這次會議上,產油國聯盟將決定是否在2月份進行計劃中的日產40萬桶增產。
盡管受到奧密克戎的影響,歐佩克在上一次會議上仍堅持其1月增產計劃。
王磊 摘譯自 離岸工程
原文如下:
Brent Oil Rises Toward $77
Brent crude oil rose towards $77 on Monday due to hopes that the Omicron COVID-19 variant will have a limited impact on global demand in 2022, even as U.S. crude came under pressure from flight cancellations amid surging cases.
More than 1,300 flights were cancelled by U.S. airlines on Sunday as COVID-19 reduced the number of available crews while several cruise ships had to cancel stops.
Global benchmark Brent crude rose 76 cents, or 1%, to $76.90 by 1505 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 22 cents, or 0.3%, at $73.57. The U.S. market was closed on Friday for a holiday.
"Lower travel equaling lower economic activity in the U.S. equals lower WTI," said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at brokerage OANDA, who added that the divergence between Brent and WTI could reflect that global recovery remains on course.
"The disruption to goods and services from isolating workers, notably air travel, seems to be the main fallout so far," he said of rising Omicron cases. "That is only likely to cause short-term nerves, with the global recovery story for 2022 still on track."
Brent has risen by more than 45% this year, supported by recovering demand and supply cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+.
Oil, which plunged by more than 10% on Nov. 26 when reports of a new variant first appeared, gained last week after early data suggested that Omicron could cause a milder level of illness.
"Though Omicron is spreading faster than any COVID-19 variant yet, a relatively relieving news is that most people infected with Omicron are showing mild symptoms, at least so far," said Leona Liu, analyst at Singapore-based DailyFX.
Also on investors' radar is the next OPEC+ meeting on Jan. 4, in which the producer alliance will decide whether to go ahead with a planned 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) production increase in February.
OPEC+ stuck to its plans at its last meeting to boost output for January despite Omicron.
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