據世界石油網站2月4日報道 美國頁巖地區(qū)的產量今年正在重新恢復繁榮，研究和數(shù)據分析公司Lium LLC預測產量將激增100多萬桶/日。

這是迄今為止最樂觀的行業(yè)預測。相比之下，美國能源信息管理署（EIA）表示，美國今年年底的日產量將比1月份的水平高出約63萬桶。康菲石油公司則預測，2022年產量將以日產90萬桶速度增長。

Lium稱，100多萬桶/日將是該地區(qū)自2018年以來最大的產量增長。

該公司在周四晚些時候的一份研究報告中寫道：“最近幾周的現(xiàn)場數(shù)據凸顯了壓裂作業(yè)的激增，我們相信這將在年中轉化為產量變化。該行業(yè)正在（我們認為將繼續(xù)）找到一種方法，將大量服務活動投入該領域。”

Lium表示，占美國總產量三分之一以上的私營運營商，在未來六個月內準備完成油井時，預計將重新恢復繁榮，占總產量18%的主要石油公司已經開始增加產量。

埃克森美孚周二表示，計劃今年將美國最大產油區(qū)二疊紀盆地的產量提高25%。此前四天，雪佛龍公司宣布將在更大的生產基地基礎上增加10%的二疊紀供應。

王磊 摘譯自 世界石油

原文如下：

U.S. shale back to booming, adding 1 million barrels a day

Output in the U.S. shale patch is “re-booming” this year, with research and data analysis firm Lium LLC forecasting production will surge by more than 1 million barrels a day.

That’s the most bullish industry forecast yet. By comparison, the Energy Information Administration says the U.S. will end the year producing about 630,000 barrels a day more than January levels; ConocoPhillips predicts output will grow by as much as 900,000 barrels a day in 2022.

The addition of more than 1 million barrels a day would represent the region’s largest expansion of output since 2018, according to Lium.

“Field level datapoints in recent weeks have highlighted a surge in frac activity, which we believe will translate into a production inflection by mid-year,” the firm wrote in a late Thursday research note. “The industry is finding (and we think will continue to find) a way to put plenty of service activity into the field.”

Private operators, which represent more than a third of U.S. output, are expected to “re-boom” over the next six months as they get ready to complete wells, while the major oil companies -- accounting for another 18% of production -- have already started growing production, Lium said.

Exxon Mobil Corp. said Tuesday it plans to boost output by 25% this year in the Permian Basin, the biggest U.S. oil-producing region. That comes four days after Chevron Corp. announced it will ramp up its own Permian supplies by 10% from an even larger production base.

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